Great season so far, loving every minute of it :)

OAK/SD under 45. Chargers defense is 2nd overall in yards allowed and Oakland struggles on offense. Oakland's pass defense is pretty good as well so i see this being a 20-10 type of game.

Bengals -6.5. Bengals finally got some offense going last week and i figure it to continue this week after 2 road games. Their at home playing TB who is coming off a bye week but Freeman isn't as good as hes been playing.

CHI -3. Chicago sucks, but carolina sucks even more. Carolina's strong point is their running game... More...

pitt -1. Team has played great without roethlisberger...game is at home for his return. There will be alot of energy. Not too worried of him being rusty.

cincy -3. team hasnt played upto their potential at all yet. expecting a nice showing versus cleveland this weekend.

ATL -6.5. Atl plays at home vs a disappointing 49ers squad. falcons have played well this season and it will continue vs 49ers this weekend.

hou -3. Hou got rocked this passed weekend vs the cowboys in HOU. Hou's biggest weakness is their pass defense which by no means is a strength for oakland. Hou should be... More...

Tonight we have a good matchup with the New Orleans Saints facing off versus the San Francisco 49ers. The game will be played in California with 49ers being the home team. Both teams had strong hopes for the season but came out flat in their first games.

New Orleans Saints took on the Minnesota Vikings for the first game of the season. Even though the Saints came out on top 14-9, it wasn't an easy game. New Orleans scored on their opening drive but certainly seemed sluggish after that. Drew Brees had a good game as he went 27 for 36 with 237 yards and a touchdown for a 101.3 passer rating in his first game. The running game sort of struggled as they had 85 combined yards between Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush with one touchdown off 21 carries. The Saints wide recievers were quiet as Colston went 5 catches 62 yards, Henderson 2 catches for 38 yards, and Reggie Bush 5 catches for 33 yards all combined for 0 touchdowns. Credit is due to their defense, that is for sure. Vikings strong point on offense is their running game, but the Saints contained it very well. Adrian Peterson put up 87 yards off 19 carries for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. Vikings running game as a hole managed to only put up 91 rushing yards total off 23 carries for a 4.0 average per carry. New Orleans pass defense made it tough for Brett Favre in week one. Favre was 15 for 27 for just 171 yards with a touchdown and an interception for a passer rating of 71.7.

 

The 49ers were very dissappointing week one vs the Seahawks. Many people had 49ers winning their division, but after their week one perfomance it certainly doesnt look that way. Alex Smith was terrible last week against the Seahawks. He was 26/45 for 225 yards with 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions for a 52.5 passer rating. The running game was absolutely awful. Frank Gore was terrible last week with 17 carries for 38 yards for just an average of 2.2 yards and 0 touchdowns. As a team, they combined 19 carries for 49 yards for 2.6 yards a carry. The only real offensive player was Vernon Davis who had 8 receptions for 73 yards with no touchdowns. Their defense struggled against the Seahawks. Seahawks racked up 31 points against the 49ers defense. Hasslebeck went 18/23 for 170 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception for a rating of 108.3. Seattle's rushing attack was so/so. As a team, they went 23 carries for 77 yards for an average 3.3 yards per carry with one touchdown.

 

To win, the 49ers will have to manage a better running game with Gore and Alex Smith will need to be more efficient and throw less than 2 interceptions. Their defense will need to stop Brees from tearing them up as well as contain Bush and Thomas out of the backfield. With this said, its not going to happen. Drew Brees will have a field day on this defense and their running game will also be effective. Saints will roll tonight and i expect a 24-10 final with the Saints coming out on top.

 

My teaser for the night is Saints +.5 and under 49.5.

A couple preseason plays and an mlb total.

 

Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers over 7 runs -125.

Minnesota has Scott Baker on the mound tonight against Detroit's Justin Verlander. Verlander is 14-8 with a 3.58 earned run average on the season in 178.1 innings pitched, but he struggles against the Twins. In his career, Verlander is 6-7 with a 4.00 ERA in 101.1 innings pitched. Minnesota's big bats hit Verlander very well. Mauer is 15-42 for a .357 average with 3 home runs against him, Kubel is 12-31 with a .387 average with no homeruns, and Span is 11-26 for a .423 average with no homeruns. Verlander has been very good his last 3 starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.190 WHIP. Even with with his good season, Verlander struggles on the road. He is 5-5 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.299 WHIP which should cause some problems against a very good home team in Minnesota who is 42-22 at home and do very good against righties. The Twins are 50-36 against righties with an impressive .280 average against them on the season. Scott Baker has had an inconsistent season. Some games he is dominant, other games hes very poor. He is 12-9 with a 4.55 ERA in 158.1 innings pitched. Against the Detroit Tigers, Scott Baker is 6-4 with a 4.55 ERA in 112.2 innings pitched. Detroit has some hitters who also hit Baker very well. Johnny Damon is 4-14 with a .286 average, Cabrera is 9-27 for a .333 avg with 2 homeruns, and Santiago is 8-21 for a .381 average. Baker has also been been great his last 3 starts going 2-0 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.3 WHIP. At home, baker has been good going 8-3 for a 3.86 ERA. Detroit's bullpen is weak and should give up some runs as well. Their road ERA is 4.69 with a WHIP of 1.560. The over 7 should be an easy number to cover.

 

NFL Preseason:

Patriots +3 over Giants.

It is expected that Patriots starts will play a decent amount of time because of the bad outting vs the St. Louis Rams last week. Brady was quoted saying "starts should be ready to play". The offense wasn't really the problem but the defense was awful. Allowing 36 points to a very weak Rams team. With starters playign a decent amount of time tonight for the Patriots, I like their shot tonight at +3.

Philadelphia Eagles -1. The jets simply haven't been able to score with Sanchez at Quarterback. He might see a decent amount of time to try to improve tonight but hes up against a good Philly Defense. Kolb is quarterback for the Eagles who expected to have a good season this year for the Eagles. Eagles also will turn to Michael Vick tonight who can give defenses trouble with his legs, so i like the backups for eagles tonight over the Jet's backups. It will be a low scoring game but i expect the Eagles to win tonight.

 

Broncos +4 vs Minnesota Vikings. Favre will get a good amount of time tonight to get back in form but not expected to play too long which is a plus for the Broncos. The broncos have some backups who can perform tonight. Brady Quinn and Tim Tebow will both get extended playing time tonight against Minnesota's backup defenses. The Bronco's defense looked good last week against Pitt, having a couple interceptions and defensive touchdowns and that could happen again tonight. Broncos +4 is the play here.

More...

A few baseball plays today/tonight. Lost my play last night in SEA/LAA but expect a 2-0 night tonight.

Boston Redsox -200 over Baltimore Orioles. Laying some chalk here but this good reason because John lester is on the mound. Lifetime against Baltimore, Lester has a whopping 12-0 record with just a 2.00 earned run average in over 94 innings pitched verses them. The Redsox are 74-58 on the season but find themselves 7 games back of the Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays and totally out of the race. Boston has never faced the pitcher that Baltimore is putting on the mound tonight, Jake Arrieta. The righty is 4-6 with a 5.10 ERA in 83 innings pitched this season. The Redsox hit righty well. They are 50-39 against a right handed pitcher with an average of .266. A few of Baltimore's hitters fair well against Lester with Wigginton and Leiters both being 7-18 for a .389 batting average. Boston is just 34-32 on the road this season which isn't bad while Baltimore at home is 29-38 which is terrible. The Boston Redsox are on a four game losing streak, but i expect that to end tonight as they beat Baltimore.

Colorado -112 over San Francisco Giants. Battle of the elite pitchers in the National League. Ubaldo Jimenez is on the mound for Colorado while Tim Lincecum is on the mound for the Giants. Ubaldo is a Cy Young candidate this year for sure. He is 17-5 with a 2.71 ERA with 176.1 innings pitched on the season. Lincecum is not having his best season. He is 11-9 with a 3.80 ERA with just over 170 innings pitched on the season. When these pitchers face the opposing team, they generally do very well. Lincecum has 80.2 innings pitched and is 5-5 with a 3.79 ERA versus the Rockies while Jimenez has 84 innings pitched with a 5-4 record and a 3.21 ERA against the Giants. I think colorado has a slight edge in this game because some of Colorado's better hitters hit well against Lincecum. Ianetta is 6-12 career vs Tim Lincecum and Helton is 10-22 lifetime verses him. Both teams hit Right handed pitchers pretty well. Colorado is 41-39 while San Francisco is 54-44 on the season verses righties. Both teams manage a .262 batting average against righties this season. In his last three starts, Jimenez is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA. Lincecum on the other hand hasn't had much success in his last three starts going 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA. Jimenez has been great on the road this season. He is 9-4 with a 2.31 ERA with a WHIP just over 1 which is dominant numbers on the road. Linecum at home hasn't been too great. He is 7-6 with a 4.12 with a 1.4 WHIP which are considerably bad numbers for Lincecum. The bullpen edge goes to the Giants. The Giants bullpen has an ERA over 3.43 on the season and a 2.75 home ERA which is very good. Colorado's bullpen has a 3.83 ERA on the season with a 3.43 ERA on the road.

Take Boston and Colorado tonight and look for a 2-0 night.

 

 

Tonight the Los Angeles Angels take on the Seattle Mariners in Seattle. It is a solid pitching matchup as Dan Haren is taking the mound for Angels and Felix Hernandez takes the mound for the Mariners. The Angels are 64-68 on the year and are 3-11 vs Seattle on the season. Seattle on the other hand has had a dissappointing season and hold a 50-81 record as well as just having 3 wins against the Angels on the season in 14 attempts. The Angels are 30-37 on the road the season while Seattle is 30-34 at home during the season. Angels seem to pick it up during division opponents where they are 23-16 on the season. Seattle on the other hand is just 11-28 vs divisional opponents which isn't too suprising with the year they have had. Both teams have had a bad august coming into the final night of the month. Los Angeles is just 11-16 in the month and the Mariners are 13-14 in the month of August.

 

Dan Haren is 9-12 with a 4.45 ERA so far on the season with 188 innings pitched. He is 6-4 career vs Seattle. He has pitched 77.2 innings vs them and maintains a 3.01 ERA. Seattle's hitters don't fair to well against Haren with no one batting great against him. Suzuki is 11-41 against him lifetime and Figgins is 6-22 vs Haren lifetime to point out two of their hitters. Haren is looking to win two consecutive starts for the first time since joining the Angels' organization last month. Haren should do well as Seattle is just 41-51 right handed batters and only maintain a .235 average against righties. On the road Haren has a 5.29 ERA and has just two wins to five losses. In his last three starts, Haren has maintained a 5.40 ERA with a 1-2 record but in his defense those were against Torono Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays, and Minnesota Twins, three teams who could give any pitcher trouble.

Felix Hernandez is having another good season ERA wise. He is maintainting a 2.47 ERA and holds a 10-10 record while pitching over 204 innings on the season. Against Los Angeles, Felix has a 4.34 ERA in 128.2 innings pitched with a 4-7 record in his carrer. It is safe to say he doesn't like facing this team very much and it is expected his struggles will continue tonight. Looking at hitter vs pitcher matchups, the clear edge is on the Angels side. Abreu is 11-30 with one homerun, Hunter is 11-35, and Napoli is 6-24 with a homerun as well for their careers. The Angels are just 47-46 vs righties but hold a .262 average vs them which is respectable. Felix is 2.46 with a 6-4 record at home this year, which is expected for the strong righty. His last three starts have been nothing short of spectacular. He is 2-1 with a .41 ERA against the Red Sox, Yankees, and Indians which is a solid group to hold just a .41 era against.

Neither team has a strong bullpen as the Angels bullpen ERA is 4.27 and Seattle's is 4.28. Los Angeles' bullpen ERA is worse on the round at a brutal 4.70 ERA while Seattle's ERA at home drops to 3.85.

 

Take Angels +111 and take home another winner :)

Not a great day yesterday, but i'll try to rebound with a few plays tonight.

 

Celtics -11 -120 (B.5) home over Philly.

 

This is an easy call in my opinion and yet the public is over philly. Fine with me. Boston comes in tonight 20-4 on the season and 8-3 at home. They are having another great season with their stacked starters. Philly comes in tonight 6-19 on the season and 2-10 on the road. They recently acquired Allen Iverson out of "retirement" but hes been quiet. Celtics home against the spread is poor at 4-7 but this is because their generally double digit favorites at home, so you got to pick the right spots. Celtics are a premiere home team averaging 101.4 poitns for and 91.7 points against them at home. Philly is 8-4 against the spread on the road which is quite good, but after looking at some of their road games, its not a big shock. Philly comes in tonight averaging 100.7 points per game but allowing 104.2 points per game against. Boston is on 3 days rest tonight which is always nice when you have a veteran team where the rest really does help. Boston is 2-2 against the spread on 3 days rest averaging 101.8 points per game while allowing 89.8 points against. Philly is coming off 1 day of rest where they struggle tremendously going 2-10 against the spread and averaging 90.9 points for and allowing 97.3 against. Boston has been playing great in their last 5 games and it will continue against a very poor Philly squad. Take boston tonight.

 

Atlanta Hawks -6 at home over the Utah Jazz

I like this game a lot. Atlanta is another great home team and Jazz are a average road team. Atlanta is averaging a very nice 112.5 points per game at home while allowing a little under 100 points against giving them a 10-3 against the spread mark. Jazz is averaging 96.2 points per game for and allowing 98.9 points per game against on the road giving them a 4-6 record against the spread. Atlanta has been lights out in their last 5 games. In that span, their averaging 109.8 points for and allowing just over 90 against going 5-0 against the spread in their last 5. Utah has also been pretty good their last 5, going 3-2 against the spread while averaging 103.0 points for and allowing 101.6 points against. Both teams are coming off 1 days of rest where their above average at, so no team gets an edge there, but i like the Hawks -6 tonight at home over the Utah Jazz.

 

A couple more leans:

Golden State Warriors -2. Washington is just a real poor road team and Warriors are an offensive team so i like the matchup. I think Warriors could roll this game.

Atl/Utah under 206.5. Atlanta plays some pretty good defense at home and shut down teams on any given night. Utah isn't an offensive powerhouse so i see them only putting up in the low 90s. I think atl puts up something like 100, so i think a final of 197 points total is more realistic.

4-2 yesterday after starting out 4-0 was a little disapointing but what can ya do. Got an NBA side, NFL first half and NFL game as well as a 10/13 point teaser.

 

Orlando Magic -4 over Miami Heat.

Orlando comes in tonight coming off a huge victory last night against the Toronto Raptors where they won 118-99. Orlando is a great road team which we all know as they are 9-2 on the road this season and 8-5 against the spread on the road this season. They average 99.9 points per game for and 96.4 points against them on the road which is pretty good for a road game. The heat are a struggling team this year being 12-11 on the season and only 7-7 at home. They are only 5-9 against the spread at home this season while averaging 95.2 points per game and 96.1 points per game against. Both teams are putting up some good offensive numbers in their last 5 games. Orlando is averaging 107 points per game in their last 5 and Miami is averaging 104 points per game but both defenses are not upto par in their last 5. The Magic are giving up 101.8 points per game in their last 5 while the Heat are giving up 105.8 points per game in their last 5. The Orlando Magic played last night which generally effects teams play, but not so much Orlando. They are 3-1-1 against the spread on 0 days of rest averaging 105 points per game and allowing 97.2 points against. The Miami Heat are coming off 1 day of rest where they are 6-9 against the spread and averaging 98.3 points per game and allowing 99.3 points per game. I like Orlando -4 tonight in Miami.

 

Colts -3 1H and -3 game over Jaguars

Tonight the Indianapolis Colts go for 14-0. Coach Caldwell already stated that all healthy players will start. The Colts are obviously hungry to go 16-0 on the season and i expect starters to be in the game through atleast 3 quarters and maybe longer if its a somewhat tight game. It has been said that the Colts won't play hard because they have nothing to play for except going 16-0. This is very true, but why wouldn't a team want to go 16-0? Because the only team that has done it prior lost in the superbowl? They need to continue to play to keep rhythm and that is why they will play a majority of the game to make sure they win. The Jaguars on the other side have everything to play for. They NEED this win for a shot at the playoffs, so you figure they will bring their game. But wait, last week they were in pretty much the same spot-a must win type situation and they lost to the Miami Dolphins. Why should i expect any difference in tonight than that game? Well I don't. I took Colts -3 for the game, but i also took them -3 1st half because the starters will DEFINATLY play the whole first half. Take these lines and cash them tonight.

 

Here is a little 10 point basketball/13 point football teaser for tonight.

Magic +6

Knicks +13

Suns +11.5

Colts +10

Good luck!

Yesterday i went 2-0-1. It should have been a 3-0 night, but Deng of the Chicago Bulls hit a 3 at the buzzer to make it a push. Tonight, we got some NBA spreads and some totals.

 

Atlanta Hawks -9 at home against Memphis Grizzlies.

Atlanta comes in tonight 17-6 against the spread on the season. They've been one of the best home teams this season at a 10-2 record. At home, the Hawks are putting up great numbers. They average 112.7 points per game for and 99.7 points against for a 13 point difference. One factor that favors the Atlanta Hawks tonight is Memphis' poor road game. They're just 4-9 on the road this season and are averaging poor numbers on the road. Their maintaining a good offensive number at 103.5 points per game, but allowing a crazy 109.7 points per game against on the road. Memphis' numbers are good in their last 5 and there against good opponents-Boston, Miami, Oklahoma City, Cleveland, and Dallas, but 4 of the 5 games were at home. Atlanta's last 5 games have been against weak opponents but their still 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. Memphis is coming over one day of rest where they fare pretty well, going 7-5 against the spread and having a point differential of +1.7. The Hawks are coming off 2 days of rest, but they've only played one game on two days of rest and they put up 146 points in that game. Take the Hawks -9 and over 207 tonight.

 

Dallas Mavericks -2 on the road against Oklahoma City Thunder.

Dallas is coming into tonight 18-7 on the season and 9-4 on the road. The Thunder are 12-11 and 6-6 at home. Dallas is good road team, averaging 101.5 points per game for and 95.7 points per game against giving them a 9-4 against the spread record on the road. The thunder average just 99.3 points per game for and 95.6 points per game against at home giving them a 7-5 record against the spread record at home.. Thunder aren't a good team against teams with winning records, going 6-10 straight up but are 8-5 against the spread. Dallas is a great team against teams over .500 going 8-2 straight up and 7-3 against the spread. In their last 5 games, Dallas is 4-1 straight up but 1-4 against the spread. Their averaging 95 points per game and 92.2 points against during this stretch. The Thunder are 2-3 straight up in their last 5, but 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 averaging 95 points per game for, but 98.2 points against. Both teams are coming off 1 day of rest, which both of them fare well at, but the edge goes to Dallas. Take dallas -2 tonight.

 

Heres a couple more games i like but didn't do writes up for :

Houstons +8.5- Houston plays well on b2b games, I think the spread should be around denv -4.

Orlando/Toronto over 208- Both teams can put up alot of points and Toronto has NO defense, Orlando might put up 125 themselves.

GSW+5.5- Spurs are a poor road team and a very poor b2b night team, Golden State actually has a + point differential, so I'll take them here.

 

good luck!