Not a great day yesterday, but i'll try to rebound with a few plays tonight.

Celtics -11 -120 (B.5) home over Philly.

This is an easy call in my opinion and yet the public is over philly. Fine with me. Boston comes in tonight 20-4 on the season and 8-3 at home. They are having another great season with their stacked starters. Philly comes in tonight 6-19 on the season and 2-10 on the road. They recently acquired Allen Iverson out of "retirement" but hes been quiet. Celtics home against the spread is poor at 4-7 but this is because their generally double digit favorites at home, so you got to pick the right spots. Celtics are a premiere home team averaging 101.4 poitns for and 91.7 points against them at home. Philly is 8-4 against the spread on the road which is quite good, but after looking at some of their road games, its not a big shock. Philly comes in tonight averaging 100.7 points per game but allowing 104.2 points per game against. Boston is on 3 days rest tonight which is always nice when you have a veteran team where the rest really does help. Boston is 2-2 against the spread on 3 days rest averaging 101.8 points per game while allowing 89.8 points against. Philly is coming off 1 day of rest where they struggle tremendously going 2-10 against the spread and averaging 90.9 points for and allowing 97.3 against. Boston has been playing great in their last 5 games and it will continue against a very poor Philly squad. Take boston tonight.

Atlanta Hawks -6 at home over the Utah Jazz

I like this game a lot. Atlanta is another great home team and Jazz are a average road team. Atlanta is averaging a very nice 112.5 points per game at home while allowing a little under 100 points against giving them a 10-3 against the spread mark. Jazz is averaging 96.2 points per game for and allowing 98.9 points per game against on the road giving them a 4-6 record against the spread. Atlanta has been lights out in their last 5 games. In that span, their averaging 109.8 points for and allowing just over 90 against going 5-0 against the spread in their last 5. Utah has also been pretty good their last 5, going 3-2 against the spread while averaging 103.0 points for and allowing 101.6 points against. Both teams are coming off 1 days of rest where their above average at, so no team gets an edge there, but i like the Hawks -6 tonight at home over the Utah Jazz.

A couple more leans:

Golden State Warriors -2. Washington is just a real poor road team and Warriors are an offensive team so i like the matchup. I think Warriors could roll this game.

Atl/Utah under 206.5. Atlanta plays some pretty good defense at home and shut down teams on any given night. Utah isn't an offensive powerhouse so i see them only putting up in the low 90s. I think atl puts up something like 100, so i think a final of 197 points total is more realistic.

4-2 yesterday after starting out 4-0 was a little disapointing but what can ya do. Got an NBA side, NFL first half and NFL game as well as a 10/13 point teaser.

Orlando Magic -4 over Miami Heat.

Orlando comes in tonight coming off a huge victory last night against the Toronto Raptors where they won 118-99. Orlando is a great road team which we all know as they are 9-2 on the road this season and 8-5 against the spread on the road this season. They average 99.9 points per game for and 96.4 points against them on the road which is pretty good for a road game. The heat are a struggling team this year being 12-11 on the season and only 7-7 at home. They are only 5-9 against the spread at home this season while averaging 95.2 points per game and 96.1 points per game against. Both teams are putting up some good offensive numbers in their last 5 games. Orlando is averaging 107 points per game in their last 5 and Miami is averaging 104 points per game but both defenses are not upto par in their last 5. The Magic are giving up 101.8 points per game in their last 5 while the Heat are giving up 105.8 points per game in their last 5. The Orlando Magic played last night which generally effects teams play, but not so much Orlando. They are 3-1-1 against the spread on 0 days of rest averaging 105 points per game and allowing 97.2 points against. The Miami Heat are coming off 1 day of rest where they are 6-9 against the spread and averaging 98.3 points per game and allowing 99.3 points per game. I like Orlando -4 tonight in Miami.

Colts -3 1H and -3 game over Jaguars

Tonight the Indianapolis Colts go for 14-0. Coach Caldwell already stated that all healthy players will start. The Colts are obviously hungry to go 16-0 on the season and i expect starters to be in the game through atleast 3 quarters and maybe longer if its a somewhat tight game. It has been said that the Colts won't play hard because they have nothing to play for except going 16-0. This is very true, but why wouldn't a team want to go 16-0? Because the only team that has done it prior lost in the superbowl? They need to continue to play to keep rhythm and that is why they will play a majority of the game to make sure they win. The Jaguars on the other side have everything to play for. They NEED this win for a shot at the playoffs, so you figure they will bring their game. But wait, last week they were in pretty much the same spot-a must win type situation and they lost to the Miami Dolphins. Why should i expect any difference in tonight than that game? Well I don't. I took Colts -3 for the game, but i also took them -3 1st half because the starters will DEFINATLY play the whole first half. Take these lines and cash them tonight.

Here is a little 10 point basketball/13 point football teaser for tonight.

Magic +6

Knicks +13

Suns +11.5

Colts +10

Good luck!

Yesterday i went 2-0-1. It should have been a 3-0 night, but Deng of the Chicago Bulls hit a 3 at the buzzer to make it a push. Tonight, we got some NBA spreads and some totals.

Atlanta Hawks -9 at home against Memphis Grizzlies.

Atlanta comes in tonight 17-6 against the spread on the season. They've been one of the best home teams this season at a 10-2 record. At home, the Hawks are putting up great numbers. They average 112.7 points per game for and 99.7 points against for a 13 point difference. One factor that favors the Atlanta Hawks tonight is Memphis' poor road game. They're just 4-9 on the road this season and are averaging poor numbers on the road. Their maintaining a good offensive number at 103.5 points per game, but allowing a crazy 109.7 points per game against on the road. Memphis' numbers are good in their last 5 and there against good opponents-Boston, Miami, Oklahoma City, Cleveland, and Dallas, but 4 of the 5 games were at home. Atlanta's last 5 games have been against weak opponents but their still 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. Memphis is coming over one day of rest where they fare pretty well, going 7-5 against the spread and having a point differential of +1.7. The Hawks are coming off 2 days of rest, but they've only played one game on two days of rest and they put up 146 points in that game. Take the Hawks -9 and over 207 tonight.

Dallas Mavericks -2 on the road against Oklahoma City Thunder.

Dallas is coming into tonight 18-7 on the season and 9-4 on the road. The Thunder are 12-11 and 6-6 at home. Dallas is good road team, averaging 101.5 points per game for and 95.7 points per game against giving them a 9-4 against the spread record on the road. The thunder average just 99.3 points per game for and 95.6 points per game against at home giving them a 7-5 record against the spread record at home.. Thunder aren't a good team against teams with winning records, going 6-10 straight up but are 8-5 against the spread. Dallas is a great team against teams over .500 going 8-2 straight up and 7-3 against the spread. In their last 5 games, Dallas is 4-1 straight up but 1-4 against the spread. Their averaging 95 points per game and 92.2 points against during this stretch. The Thunder are 2-3 straight up in their last 5, but 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 averaging 95 points per game for, but 98.2 points against. Both teams are coming off 1 day of rest, which both of them fare well at, but the edge goes to Dallas. Take dallas -2 tonight.

Heres a couple more games i like but didn't do writes up for :

Houstons +8.5- Houston plays well on b2b games, I think the spread should be around denv -4.

Orlando/Toronto over 208- Both teams can put up alot of points and Toronto has NO defense, Orlando might put up 125 themselves.

GSW+5.5- Spurs are a poor road team and a very poor b2b night team, Golden State actually has a + point differential, so I'll take them here.

good luck!

Yesterday i went 0-2 with a dissappointing ending in the Celtics game, where they could have covered. Tonight i got 2 NBA spreads and one NHL line.

Suns -3 at home over the Spurs.

The Phoenix Suns come in tonight 8-0 at home against the San Antonio Spurs who are 2-5 on the road. Phoenix has been a great home team this year. They have managed the 8-0 record because of some great numbers at home. They are averaging 116.5 points per game for and 103.6 points against. Their scoring a lot and letting up alot but that is how their team has been for a few years now. Spurs come in tonight just 2-5 on the road because of some sub-par numbers. They're averaging 95.7 points for on the road while allowing 96.9 against them. Spurs are 2-5 against the spread on the road and the Suns are 4-3-1 against the spread at home on the season. The Spurs numbers look good in their last 5, showing 107.4 points per game for and only allowing 98.2 against. Don't let this fool you though. Their last 5 games are against Denver, Utah, Sacramento, Charlotte, and the Clippers. So their numbers are good, but their misleading. The Suns on the other hand have bad numbers in their last 5. Their averaging over 101 points per game but allowing over 105 but this is due to a hard schedule. Their last 5 has been against Denver, Orlando, Dallas, Lakers, Sacramento. Both teams are good on their respective days of rest. Suns are on 2 days of rest and Spurs are on one days of rest. It should be a good game, but i like the Phoenix Suns -3 tonight.

Lakers -9 in Chicago.

Lakers come in tonight better than the Bulls in nearly every aspect of the game. On the road this season, the Lakers are just 2-3 but 1-4 against the spread. Not very good, and this is because their just averaging 101 points per game and allowing 100.8 points against which isnt very Laker-like. The bulls are a poor home team though, so this helps the Lakers tonight. The bulls are just 6-4 at home averaging 89.8 points per game for and allowing 92.9 points against. The Lakers are just 4-1 their last 5, but it was a hard schedule. They had to face Utah twice, Minnesota, Miami, and Phoenix. In those 5 games, they have averaged 103 points per game for and just 92.3 points per game against. The Chicago Bulls in their last 5 have been terrible, going 1-4 in their last 5. In that 5 game span, they've only averaged 87.6 points per game for and allowing 105.6 points per game against for a 18 point difference. Both teams are coming off 2 days rest which favors Lakers just like nearly everything else does. Take the Lakers -9 tonight in Chicago.

NHL:

Pittsburgh -200.

I don't bet hockey often, but when i find a play that i just feel has a great chance of winning, i take it. Philadelphia played last night in Boston and beat them and the very next night have to play in Pittsburgh. That is very brutal. Philly is 3-3 on back to back games on the season which is good, but Pitt is on 2 days of rest and their 6-2 on 2 days of rest. Pittsburgh will roll tonight. Take them at -200.

After a solid 5-2 Sunday, i'll try to keep it rolling with some Monday games including Monday Night Football.

Celtics -7 -120 over Memphis Grizzlies.Bought half a point here for the line of 7.

The Boston Celtics are having another great season. They are 19-4 on the season this year but only 11-12 against the spread on the season. Boston manages a great road record of 11-1 with some great stats. On the road, they average 99.5 points per game while giving up only 89.5 points against for a difference of +10. Celtics are also 7-5 against the spread this season on the road while Memphis Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread at home. Memphis averages just under 99 points per game for and 97.5 points per game against at home. Both team have been great in their last games. Boston is 5-0 in their last 5 averaging over 100 points per game and only about 88 points against while Memphis is 3-2 their last 5 but are averaging over 103 points per game and allowing 95.6 points per game. Boston's biggest edge comes in the days rest. Boston is on 1 day of rest where they are 7-6 against the spread and averaging about 101 points per game while allowing 91.5 against them. Memphis is the complete opposite. Memphis is 1-4 against the spread on 0 days of rest and averaging 99.2 points per game for and over 113 points against. This doesn't look good for the Grizzlies tonight. Take Celtics -7.

Monday Night Football: Arizona -3 over SF 49ers.

Arizona looks like the easy pick tonight to a lot of people and it looks great to me as well. Kurt warner has been playing incredible Football lately and no one can argue that. The San Fransisco 49er's are 27th in pass defense and 19 in total defense. How will this get it done against one of the best passing attacks in football with Fitzgerald and Boldin. The 49ers did beat them the first week in Arizona, but the Cardinals have been a better road team than home team. The Arizona Cardinals are 4-1 against the spread on the road this season.The 49ers do have some facts in their favor. They are 4-2 against the spread at home this season and have a defense that can look incredible some games. But the inconsistency of the team and the young players they have on offense makes this game a tough one for them. With the Cardinals running game finally coming around, there is jsut too much fire power for the 49ers to handle. If the 49ers can run the ball well tonight then they got a chance to take this one but i do not see it happening.Take Arizona -3 tonight.

Another little fun bet i have tonight is the Bruins -137. Bruins are my team so im just going to take them tonight for fun. Philly and Bruins games tend to be entertaining and putting money on it makes it even better.

Hoping for a nice 3-0 night to get the week started off right. Good luck to everyone!

Looks like another small card for 12/9/09. Yesterday i went 2-1, hitting a 5 unit play on Orlando -4 1H. Also hit them -7 for the game, but lost celtics -12 for the game by 3 points. Got a couple plays tonight for the NBA and two for the NHL.

NBA: Golden State +2. This is a game where i can't really go off teams stats because both teams arent very good, but there is one certainty in the NBA this year and that is the New Jersey Nets should not be favored in any game. What i see happening tonight is the Golden State Warriors just blasting away at the Nets with their high scoring offense and the Nets lack of offense struggling to keep up. The only numbers I'm looking at are Golden State Warriors are 5-5 against the spread on one days rest and the Nets are 3-2 against the spread on zero days rest. This obviously favors the Nets, but they also were not favored in any of those games. I also really do like taking underdogs against a bad team on zero days rest. I feel like the underdogs have a great chance of covering and even winning. Take Golden State +2 and even the Money Line

For my second game, I like Utah +10.5. I figured this line to be more around -6.5 or -7 for the Lakers, so I'll gladly take Utah +10.5. On the season so far, Utah Jazz are 11-9 against the spread while the Los Angelas Lakers are 9-10. Utah is not a great away team, but their not terrible either. Their 3-5 on the road so far on the season. They are averaging a little over 97 points for and 99.5 points against on the road. On the other side, the Lakers are a great home team. They are 13-2 at home this season averaging just under 105 points per game and only letting 95.1 points which is very good and makes them one of the best home teams. Both teams have manages to play great basketball lately. The Jazz are averaging 105.8 points per game in their last 5 while letting up just over 96 points scoring a 4-1 against the spread mark in that span. The Lakers are playing even better averaging 112.4 points per game and only 95.6 points against them giving them a 3-2 against the spread mark in their last 5 games. Utah is coming off one day of rest which benefits them. On one day of rest, they are 9-2 straight up, 7-4 against the spread, and average 104.8 points while only letting up 96.2 points per game. The lakers are coming off 2 days of rest which hurts them. They are 2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread, and only manage to put up decent numbers at a 96.3 points for and 95.3 points against. Take Utah +10.5 tonight.

NHL: No write up for these games, just some games i'll be taking. Capitals -108 and Rangers +179.

I'm also taking every NHL dog tonight with SBR points for fun...I'll post how that goes in tomorrow's blog.

Good luck everyone!

Small/weak night for picks in my opinion. Not too many great plays it appears, but i got a couple I'm thinking about in the NBA that are sure to cash and hopefully go 2-0 tonight to get back on track.

Boston Celtics -12 over Milwaukee Bucks. Boston -12 at home tonight seems like a solid play to me for many reasons. First off, Milwaukee bucks are not a very good away team. They only average 93.6 points a game on the road while allowing 98.1 points against them. This just will not cut it against the much superior team of the Boston Celtics. Celtics come into night averaging 101.7 points for and only 92 points against them at home, making them one of the better home teams in the NBA. In each team's last 5 games, Milwaukee has only managed to score 96 points while letting up over 101 points. On the other side, the Celtics are averaging over 102 points a game and only allowing 89.6 points a game against them in their last 5. Bucks are coming off of one night of rest while the Celtics are coming off three nights of rest. This greatly improves the Celtics chances. On three days of rest, the Celtics are 2-1 against the spread, averaging 103 points and giving up only 90. The Bucks on one nights rest are 3-7 against the spread averaging 97.7 points and giving up over 101 points. I like the Celtics -12 at home tonight against the bucks.

Orlando -7 on the road vs the Clippers. The Magic -7 tonight seems like another play I like tonight. On the year, the Magic are 12-8 against the spread while the Clippers are only 8-12 against the spread. Clippers are 6-6 at home, and Orlando Magic is 9-2 on the road this season making them one of the better away teams in the league, which they have been for a couple years now. At home, Clippers average a little over 93 points a game while allowing nearly 96 points at home. The Magic on the road average almost 99 points while allowing just over 94 points. The Magic have been outstanding their last 5 games offensively, averaging 110 points a game, but the defense has allowed nearly 100 points but that is mainly because they had to play Golden State and New York who are both able to put up alot of points on most teams. Meanwhile, the Clippers are lacking offense their last 5 games. They are only maintaining a 89.6 points per game over the 5 game stretch but only allowing 88.8 points against them. Both teams are on 2 days rest which doesn't really favor either team. Magic are 1-3 against the spread on 2 days rest while the Clippers are 1-2 against the spread on 2 days rest. Orlando Magic minus the points tonight on the road versus the Clippers is the play tonight for me.

Both high powered teams should come out on top tonight and both should cover the spread as well. Both the Celtics and the Magic are player considerably weaker teams than themselves and should't have any problems scoring points tonight and winning by double digits.

Celtics -12

Magic -7

Tonight we have a match up of Baltimore Ravens at home versus Green Bay Packers. We have Baltimore at six wins and five losses and Green Bay at seven wins and four losses. Both teams are coming off wins in week twelve. Baltimore managed to pull out the win against Pittsburgh in overtime with a 20-17 victory. Green Bay is coming off a 34-12 blowout in Detroit on Thanksgiving day. Both teams are above .500 and both teams have managed some good wins this season to be in the race for the playoffs.

Baltimore is 2-3 on the road this season, and 6-5 against the spread so far on the year. Baltimore is pretty healthy, for the big named players atleast. Their notable injuries are Fabian Washington, Le'Ron Mcclain, and Terrell Suggs. Mcclain might make the game, but the other two should be missing tonights game. The Baltimore Ravens are averaging 23.4 points a game this season and allowing 17.1 points against so far. The Ravens were always known for their defense, but early on this year they were recognized for some offense. Lately that hasn't been the case. They are just averaging 17 points a game over their last three which wasn't the case early on when they were averaging much more but their still 13th in the league for total offense. Their defense is still what you would associate with a Baltimore defense as they are ranked 8th in total defense on the year.

Green Bay this season is 4-2 at home and 6-4-1 against the spread on the season. The Packers are a banged up team on the defensive side. Their missing two key players on their defense: Al Harris and Aaron Kampman. Both of them got injured in the same game and are out for the season which is a big loss for the Packers defense. Green Bay still has one of the better defenses in the league. They are currently ranked second in overall defense just behind the New York Jets. In their last 3 games, Green Bay has only let up 14.3 points per game and scoring on average 27 points in the same span. Green Bay's offense is an explosive offense to say the least. With all the talent they have at the wide receiver position such as Greg Jennings or Donald Driver, they tend to get big pass plays that set up their points.

With all that said, we should be in for a great Monday Night Football game. Baltimore should take their sturdy defense into Green Bay and try to slow down the explosive plays of the Packers. It is tough to pick a decisive side on this game, but I am going with the Green Bay Packers at -3. Look for Aaron Rodgers and their great wide receiver core to make some plays and score some points against the Baltimore Ravens defense. The Ravens shouldn't be able to put up many points on the second overall ranked defense in the league. Take Green Bay minus the points and enjoy the game!

No one would dispute the fact the Colts and Payton Manning have done something special through the first nine weeks of the NFL. They have managed to go 8-0 so far on the season despite having some key injuries to their team. These injuries haven't caused them the zero in the loss column yet, but this week it most certainly will. Patriots are averaging just over 40 points a game in their last 3 games. Their offense is finally on track and most of their key offensive players are finally healthy and playing together.Brady finally looks like Brady that we all know. The running game has given the Patriots offense some balance they have needed. Defensively, the patriots are only giving up on average 14.4 points a game. The young group has been playing suprisingly well lead by Safety safety Merriwether and LB Mayo.Bill Bellicheck and Tony Dungy always seemed to come up with great gameplans and effective schemes to play one another. With Jim Caldwell not filling Tony Dungy's Head coaching shoes, will he come up with something the patriots havent seen before? What better place to find out than a primetime game on Monday Night Football.

The Colts have some impressive stats as well. Averaging just over 27 points a game and giving up 13.5 points a game so far this season. Payton Manning has put up some MVP caliber numbers this season and he has done it with his young talent. Reggie Wayne and Anthony gonzalez, their number one and number two wide recievers on the team, have both missed their share of games on the season yet it hasnt phased Payton too much.Young recievers Garcon and Collie have both stepped in and done their job to make the Colts continue to strive with their high powered offense. Dallas Clark has also been nothing short of spectacular so far on the season as he is on pace for record breaking numbers. It is the Colts unhealthy defense that will be their demise. Perhaps they could manage with one or two injuries, but its more like five on defense. Not to mention their all big name players. Sanders, Hagler, Hayden, Jackson make up a good portion of the Colts' defense. These players will have to be replaced by less experienced players who have to go up against Brady and the Patriots offense. The offense that consists of Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker, and Ben Watson. Experienced Patriots offense against an inexperienced Colts secondary. Give the edge to the Patriots in this one.  The Colts defensive line does match up well against the Patrios offensive line who may be without pro-bowler Matt Light. This is the only advantage i can see on for the colts on defense though. Mathis and Freeney may bring pressure, but it will not be enough to slow down the Patriots.

We all know of this rivalry between these two powerful teams. Seems like every year these teams bring us a memorable game either in the regular season or playoffs. It is hard to imagine this game will be one of those games though. When it comes down to it, Colts just are not healthy enough to compete with the Patriots this week. No Sanders, Hagler, Hayden, Jackson, or Gonzalez. These players are just to important on offense and defense for the colts to stick around in this game. Patriots will hand the Colts their first loss decisively so. Patriots win the game and regain status of the team to beat in the AFC this week. Patriots are an underdog in this game at plus 3 going into Indianapolis. From my point of the view, the line should be patriots minus 3. Take the Patriots plus the points and watch as the New England Patriots end the Colts' perfect record.

Patriots +3